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Swapping Draws for Wins?

Swapping Draws for Wins?

So this roller coaster of a season continues after a memorable win over Manchester United.

The results this year have been unpredictable to say the least, but what is noticeable is the distinct lack of draws this season?

Now rightly or wrongly I haven't researched how many we drew and won last term, I'll leave that for others to get on with, but I suppose its possible to lose more games this season but counter this fact by winning more rather than drawing them!

Before Saturday night's great and pulsating win it was suggested that six wins would perhaps do the 'business' for us, well its now down to five!

I wish we were playing the top four home and away in those remaining fixtures!

So with draws off the menu its win or bust over the next few weeks, here are my 'big five' win targets:

All the remaining home games have to be top of the list; Blackpool, Spurs, Everton, Fulham, West Brom and finally Blackburn.

That's six games, according to the stats, we can afford to lose one of those and that's without taking in the away games.

There are four derbies amongst those remaining away games; WBA, Villa, Stoke, Blues, traditionally draws?

My prediction? I think looking at the fixtures we will finish on 40 points and hopefully safety.

So in theory it could all go to that last game against Blackburn on Sunday May 22nd.

How many points will be sitting on at 4-00pm on May22nd before we play Blackburn??.

I think 37 and a win on the day will make 40 points. How many do you think?

Lets hope though we are safe by then and we can all look back on last nights great victory with pride!


Article suggestion from member Crete Wolf

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Writer:Crete Wolf
Date:Monday February 7 2011
Time: 12:00PM


40 points may not be enough. It was 31 last season - but Portsmouth were doomed from the beginning, and Hull and Burnley never looked like catching up towards the end of the season. Last season's total of 38 won't suffice. The teams at the bottom end keep picking up points, so no 'divide' exists between the bottom and mid-table positions: all seven clubs from Bolton (in 8th on 33 points) down can find themselves in the bottom six with a 3-4 game bad run. More teams can therefore be drawn into the relegation battle, giving more chance of escape - mathematically, at least. That is the positive aspect, drawn from purely mathematical considerations. That may not, however - and probably does not - make up for the fact that the threatened teams are stronger than last season, indeed, no weak team or teams can be singled out, except perhaps Blackpool, who are still very much of an enigma. Wigan, my pre-season prime candidates for the drop, have almost made a habit of springing surprises. West Ham seem to be alternating defeats with wins. West Brom have taken action and just sacked Di Matteo. Of the rest, Birmingham are too compact a team, Villa have more than one class player who could turn a match and Fulham's midfield engine room will eventually ignite by the constant 'sparks' from their manager. It therefore becomes crucial to, at least, not lose the games against West Brom, and the ones with Blackpool, Fulham, Birmingham and Villa. A tall order - okay, from those six lose one, two at the most. For that MM must find a way to get the team to play as they do against the big clubs. Before the Bolton game, I had suggested - half-jokingly, and not so half-jokingly - orthodox methods having quite clearly failed, he should try hypnotherapy.
07/02/2011 15:29:00
Well, my suggestion was to hyponise the players into believing that they were going to (a) lose and/or (b) get relegated. With the release of tension, the team would play freely and up to their undoubted ability. Indeed, it seemed to work against MC, MU, L and C. Playing relegation rivals, on the other hand, increases tension and the level of performance drops off. It's no good telling the players that they are better than WBA or WHU or whoever because of the results against top teams because (a) doesn't lessen the tension or (b) if it does, it breeds complacency. As blogging for Vital Wolves is terrible for my work output, I really have to avoid being led astray in order to calculate how many points we will need to survive. And, one has to factor in the head-to-heads among all the relegation-threatened teams and that is too much for my two brain cells to handle at the moment. On Sunday, for instance, I wanted Birmingham and WHU to lose, eventually deciding that it would be better if Birmingham lost because of their games in hand. On the other hand, it nails WHU to the bottom slot and we have the opportunity to take three points off Birmingham.
07/02/2011 16:01:00
I would love to see both Blues and Albion avoid the drop with us. WHU, Wigan and Blackpool are my choices to go down. Midlands football all the way!! UTW!!
07/02/2011 16:57:00
Dont forget as well, that after Arsenal our games against top teams have ended,I think of 13 games left, 10 are against bottom half opposition,this cannot be said for a lot of the other teams around us!,just another stat to make working out points totals even harder!.I slightly differ to lovesW,I think 40 points will be enough.Teams who did well in the first half of the season dont allways do as well in the second half! remember Hull?,after a long wait Blackpool are starting to falter and who knows a team none of us expects may enter into the relegation fight.UTW.
Crete Wolf
07/02/2011 21:14:00
I do not forget. It is no advantage for Wolves that there are no more games against the big clubs after Arsenal (!) unless MM......that the other threatened clubs don't do as well as us against them is a consolation, at least. I just had a quick run through the fixture list. Villa have two (against Liverpool, h, and Arsenal,a,, the last and the penultimate),and Birmingham three (chelsea, Liverpool and Spurs, all away). W Brom have four and W Ham, Wigan, Blackpool and Fulham all have five. Now I wish your 40 points would do it, Crete Wolf, and you prove me wrong - or else, if I am right in that more than 40 will be needed and we achieve that total, that will please just you as well, I am sure.
08/02/2011 20:10:00
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