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40 points and it's still not over

With a win over Sunderland, Wolves have reached the formally magical figure of 40 points.

Last season we finished the campaign on 38 points and 15th position, 40 points was good enough for 14th last year!

This year two from five teams on 39 and 40 will join West Ham in the Championship next season.

In fact practically any other season, the 40 points Wolves have gained this season would have been enough to avoid the drop, with 2002/2003 being the last time 40+ points was needed to avoid relegation.

So who will be the unlucky sides to drop away in this ultra competitive season down at the wrong end of the Premier League?

West Ham have already fallen victim, their 33 points leaves them 6 points adrift with only one to play.

Wigan, Blackburn and Birmingham are all on 39 points and are separated by just 2 on goal difference, with ourselves and Blackburn a point clear, with Blackburn having the better goal difference by 5.

Blackpool have the hardest fixture, a trip to Old Trafford to face Premier League champions Manchester United. But with the title wrapped up and a Wembley Champions League Final to look towards, will Sir Alex Ferguson field a weakened side and give Blackpool an unlikely chance of a result?

Wigan are away to FA Cup finalists Stoke, Tony Pulis's side has nothing to play for, but his side can still finish anywhere between 7th and 14th and there is a lot of Premier League cash at stake between those final league placings.

Birmingham are away to Tottenham who still need to get a result to secure 5th ahead of Liverpool.

While we are at home to Blackburn.

It is very unlikely that Blackpool, Wigan and Birmingham will all take three points on Sunday, but if they do, the winner at Molineux will stay up, whilst the loser is relegated, a draw would see both sides go down.

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The Journalist

Writer: Akela Mail feedback, articles or suggestions

Date:Monday May 16 2011

Time: 12:00PM

Your Comments

Good luck lads
cb25Yid
Aarrgghh! I have just realised that this is the year of alliterated relegation. I had hoped that the 'Bs' would suffer but West Ham's lack of public-spiritedness has condemned us to the drop, that is, unless we can manufacture a Baggies scandal that will result in the team receiving a ten point deduction. Any suggestions? Seriously, we've been saying all season that 40 points would be enough and now we find out that it isn't. I suspect this pattern is going to persist in future years so, if we do survive, we'll have to 'up' our game and buy in some quality players ... please! If I think with my head, like Akela I feel that at best the other three games will end in draws. But my head is not controlling my heart at the moment and what really worries me is our game. I know we have a good home record and that we have rediscovered the route to goal but the outcome will depend on whether the tension emanating from the stands will affect our players or not. I bet they can sense mine already! Then, there's the issue of our dodgy defence. On Sunday we were lucky to go in at half-time with a 1-1 scoreline. Mancienne was at fault with Sunderland's goal and even Craddock made mistakes (so did Foley, Guedioura and Elokobi: great goal, though, George). I hope that, as I write, MM is guiding them gently through the fundamentals of defending on the training ground at Compton (and, more pertinently, on defending at Molineux). If not, there's going to be a collective heart attack in the crowd. But, if we survive, what a night!
Southbank60
No fears. It is all working out as I had forseen. For one thing, that more than 40 points would be needed to survive - my precise guess has been 42 points all along- for another, that we will come good in May, and we have, as far as results go, at least. One game to go and all four rivals are playing away, the main fact being that, because of goal difference, the three teams on 39 points need to win to overtake us in the table. One, at most, may do so, Wigan at Stoke, perhaps. Tottenham, with Liverpool just one point behind, need to beat Birmingham to qualify for the Europa Cup, and I can't see Blackpool humiliating Man U with a defeat; drawing and just ruining their party, maybe. All this is allowance for the eventuality of Wolves not winning, of course. My only fear is that, with Doyle fit again, MM may be considering 4-5-1 again! But I would say he has learned the lesson now: attacking pays.
lovesW
I think 40 points is enough,Blackpool and B'ham to join the Hammers but we'll beat Blackburn anyway,they dont travel that well.Onwards and upwards!.
Crete Wolf
Crete Wolf: join lovesW in the optimists' stand.
Southbank60
Crete: it seems only the final standings will relieve Southbank. The two of us must then keep on as we are doing, if only for his sake. I am a season ticket holder in that optimists' stand, as all know, and I would spare him 5 days' anxiety by inviting him along there..there is not that much room left now. Looking at the poll to the right of this page, after the Birmingham game it was just about the reverse.
lovesW
Is the optimists' stand named after myself?
Akela
No idea, Akela. Never bothered to look. I suggest your refer the question to Southbank - after 17:45 hrs on Sunday, when I promise to log on here to make myself open to fire should his pessimism materialize. Only fair.
lovesW
Akela:I think you were the founder member of the stand. You have been been radiating positivism and support for the team and management for as long as I can remember ... and probably for much longer than that too.
Southbank60
This is my problem. In my job I know what I am doing and can control what happens, even when supervising others. However, I cannot do that with WW and, as I am aware of the team's weaknesses as well as strengths, I feel helpless. Random luck, for good or ill, adds to the uncertainty of the outcome. It only requires the obligatory error to occur in a dangerous position and we are one down and chasing the game. Of course, we might be as lucky as we were in the first half of last Saturday's game, storm back after the tea-break and win by three clear goals. That's my posted prediction (I was one out at Sunderland, thank goodness). If lovesW is Candide, I am Doubting Thomas.
Southbank60
I have indeed southbank, there was a period about 18 months ago that my username was quite poetic as I really did appear to be a "lone wolf" voicing my opinion on deaf ears with everyone else appearing to disagree with every word I wrote on the subject of Mick McCarthy. Thankfully for all Wolves fans he proved them wrong last season and he's on the cusp of doing it again this year.
Akela
W- 'precise guess' I like that. We could catapult beyond any expectation, theory or guess work and end up on 43 points at which point Mick could 'slap' anyone who dared question he has shown improvement on last season; he has afterall been saying for a long time that we shall be alright come the final whistle- and it is starting to lean that way is it not. The more we look at the fixture list, the better it starts to look. The three below us all away. Can't get better than that; add to that who they are playing; then tack on a home game for ourselves; it is not as if we have the Tottenham or the Liverpool visiting. Blackburn will prove no pushover at all- their survival hangs by a similarly thin thread. I have been critical when we were awful. I can show optimism going into the final day because in all reality we should, should be safe. Sunday shall tell it's only story. If we do get relegated it will be our own fault; no hard luck stories. If we stay up, and finish say on 43 points, 5 points more than last season and having finished with three wins on the bounce it could prove a triple tonic to end the season with fittingly.
New York City Wolf
Told you?40 points was enough!easy.
Crete Wolf
 

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